Category Archives: Future

We are the many not the few — or so always goes the argument

We are the many not the few – if you don’t think too hard about this song it could represent almost any political philosophy.

Makana, the singer, if he wasn’t wearing a Greek fishing cap and short goatee a la Pete Seeger, then this could be a Tea Party anthem just as well as an OWS theme.

Themes without details are always the road to chaos. Thinking about themes often does lead to great ideas. Yet at some point all of those ideas must make it into writing and the bookkeepers brought in to do a reality check.

We are the many not the few is a very good song. The graphics are relevant and appropriate.

We have been here before.

Details matter. The Tea Party flunked them, the Coffee Party often gets wrapped around the axle about the ones that they like and ignores those that it doesn’t, the Beer Party doesn’t really care because it only exists for the fun of it all (meaningful discussion is optional), and Occupy Wall Street runs great risk of repeating 1968 all over again: big thoughts drove a generation to protest and then they all became doctors, lawyers, bankers and used car salesmen within five years. (I’m thinking of you Abby Hoffman!)

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Filed under Civil Society, Coffee Party, Corporate Welfare, Democratic Party, Economic Recovery, Election 2012, Employment, Future, Libertarianism, Republican Party, TEA Party

Dear America – About the 1%, 53%, 99%, Class Warfare, Occupy Wall Street and …

Dear America,

There is a war for your mind. It is a constant war with battles waged not for control of the majority but the few.

The battle for the minds of the majority was won long ago.

You may ask: If the war was won already then why aren’t we all in accord? Why don’t we have a common understanding?

A good question. A good question indeed. The challenge for victors is that wars are never truly won. Victory is usually nothing more than a period of calm when the many submit to the few and when all appears well throughout the land.

Then one day someone asks a new question … and the war begins anew.

About the 1%. They won long ago. For them to continue to win they need class warfare constantly being fought. Peace and calm do not define victory. Division and distrust and discord are the means of assuring recurring victory in the episodic battles that wage to keep the 1% in power and in control of society’s direction and wealth. Distract the many and try to manage the bothersome few.

Relative peace and civil discourse are anathema to the 1%. If we were not constantly arguing and hating one another then we would be comparing and discussing. An outcome for the greater good seldom works in the 1%’s favor. Not that the greater good works against the 1% — but the entire premise of the 1% is that more is always better than less. Even when more is so much that ‘more’ has little meaning other than the quest for more being the end game itself.

That does not make the 1% evil or bad or even ungood. Survival of the fittest, the fastest, the most cunning among us is just the way of life.

To the 99% I say: there is no such thing as the 99%. You may not be the 1% but you are certainly not the 99%. At best you are the sum of the parts of our society that cobble together some coalition. If history offers clues then the left can bring together elements of the 99% for very short periods, unlike the right which manages usually to keep its three to four allied elements generally in some form of harmony.

To the 99%, you are being driven to constant distraction. I do not wish to accuse the 1% of being unpatriotic but I would tell you that patriotism has very little meaning to them — regardless of the empty homilies that pass their lips or how many flags adorn their homes and buildings. Patriotism is constantly used to define issues for the purposes of focusing the minds of the more conservative elements of our society that do respond to symbols of family, faith and country. Much or most of the 1% are apolitical and apatriotic and embrace those concepts only when it supports their own economic objectives.

Yes, the vast majority of the 1% would trade your jobs without second thought if it meant another few cents on the dollar in their pocket. That is not patriotism.

The 1% would sell weapons and natural resources developed by our tax dollars to almost anyone in the world that would buy them if there is profit in it. The transfer of technology, resources and national knowledge accrued by the many and sold on the world’s markets — that is not patriotism.

Our illegal immigrant problem — we are daily driven to distraction and encouraged to drive out those that took our jobs and violated our laws because ‘illegal means illegal’. Yet where were the voices when laws were needed to manage our borders and to develop the skills and to protect the jobs of our own citizens? They were silent because it was profitable. That is not patriotism.

Do not hate the illegal immigrant that came to America to find a job and a better way of life. They were invited. The wealthy are wealthier because of it. You are too.

Dear 53% or 47% or whatever percentage group you belong to: America has fundamentally changed. The 1% won long ago and we are now on a path that can not be easily reversed. Talk of reversal of our economic fortunes is wasted time and energy. Our reality has fundamentally changed and there is no going back.

There are good times (for some) ahead but the good times of 10, 20, 30 years ago are gone and will not come back in our lifetimes.

America’s middle class is dying a slow protracted death and that is why we are so angry. Yet the American middle class is just as much to blame for its own demise as is the 1%.

America’s middle class will continue to shrink and to lose its vitality … and while the middle class will be encouraged to be angry at the working class … those supposed dregs of society that are incapable of pulling themselves up by their own efforts … that working class infused with a healthy dose of illegal immigrants that just want to feast off the ingrateful gratitude of the well fed and pampered middle class that supports them … and yet … and yet … DISTRACTION ZONE … and yet it seems to be the 1% that is pocketing the wealth of the middle class.

To the middle class of America: Stop allowing yourself to be distracted. Focus. Please get some perspective before it really is too late.

To the middle class of America: You exist. You have a Darwinian right to continue your existence as long as you are worthy of existence. Your existence and continued class health and wealth does not depend upon demonizing the less well off in our society. They have almost no voice. They are the future you if you do not focus!

Some perspective, please:

  • The middle class is always the most artificial of society’s three strata of wealth. You only exist in any significant numbers if you are allowed to exist because you serve a purpose. Throughout much of history you, we, have seldom made up more than 10-15% of society’s wealth.
  • America’s sizeable middle class is largely an accident of history. Your pre-World War II ancestors lived a meager existence and were almost certainly blue collar or red neck working class. Middle school would be the education level of the average household adult. Our immediate ancestors looked forward to a nice Sunday dinner. It was THE big meal of the week. Except for World War II that would still be the daily fate of most Americans today. In the past, before we died, we would often bequeath our personal clothes and small personal items to specific people … because they needed them, and generally that was also all we had. We were just as third world as the third world of today. Yes, the average American — and that defines the middle class — had very little other than what they wore or the tools that they used or the books that they left behind.
  • The accident of history that created the great American middle class is that the industrialized world was destroyed by the end of World War II and there was an opportunity to own the world at bargain prices. We could take what we wanted. We could define the laws of trade as we wanted. We could and often did take whatever we found in other people’s backyards around the world. We were economic imperialists of the highest order. The great American middle class exists today because the 1% of the day needed someone to manage and to organize the world’s wealth. As that wealth poured into America we prospered.  Managing the world required a well educated citizenry. Even today there are still families that boast of someone that is or was ‘first’ in their family to get a college degree. We did it for the red, white and blue … or so we thought.
  • Yet someone always asks why. Why is always a dangerous question. It didn’t take long for the world to ask why? For several decades we said ‘because we said so’ and that was answer enough. Why are you pumping our oil and our people are living in poverty? Why are you supporting dictatorships in our country when you speak of democracy and freedom? Why? Why? Why? By the 1970s the world had recovered enough from World War II that they really did want an answer to the question of why? Our world began unraveling at a very fast pace by 1973-1974 when our middle class stumbled as Globalization, version 1, took hold. Version 1 = failure of the U.S. to be able to dictate terms of global economic policy and wealth. The result was that our corporate wealth began to diversify via the formation of multinational corporations; the limited sharing of wealth with others of the world. Multinationalism was our attempt to coopt the economic capabilities of emerging economies.
  • Globalization, version 2, would expand and change our way of life within just 10 years (1973-1983) of version 1′s debut. Just as Nixon (1973) recognized that we can no longer dictate terms to the world, it was Reagan (1983/4) that ushered in version 2 of globalization: the elimination of national borders for purposes of economic wealth transfer. To reassure the American public that we were not giving away our national rights and economic wealth we were promised that free markets would create trickle down  to provide us the quality and quantity of wealth that our people had come to know and to enjoy. It was literally a theory thought out on the side of a dinner napkin.
  • Reagan’s promise of free markets and trickle down was an honest and well-intended promise perhaps but free trade and trickle down economics have very nasty side effects. The primary side effect of trickle down is that it divorced Americans from the actual creation of wealth by reversing and diluting their relationship to what brought them wealth to begin with: the creation of products and management of the world’s resources. Without these two key ingredients there is no reason for the existence of America’s middle class at its current size and level of wealth. Reality is that the hourly value of our work efforts has fallen almost every year since 1980 when adjusted for inflation. What has distracted us from noticing the hollowing of the great American middle class is that we were invested in our country’s wealth. We had a stake. Divestiture from that wealth has occurred at just a few percentage points per year. Magnify that point or two of annual loss by several decades and you will find that  the sheer raw numbers of Americans invested in stock markets bonds and funds has dropped to 1968 levels, and their number has dropped every year since 2004. Yes, we did notice the loss in our personal fortunes but we supplemented our loss with easy credit reforms from the Reagan years and the use of our homes as collateral to buy all the goodies in life made by the other people of the world benefitting from Globalization, version 2.  We were also lucky to keep our costs at home low through cheap food and goods made by all of those illegal aliens that we invited to come to America just so long as they did not demand benefits and an honest wage.
  • For the 99% or whatever percentage of America represents your group: Globalization version 3 is now upon us. The fate of the great American middle class is that it is no longer needed by the 1%. Money flows so freely now across borders that we no longer speak in terms of multinational corporations — such a quaint term from the 1970s and the 1980s. Wealth has few limits upon it because it has diversified. We have achieved the ultimate transfer of wealth: we own parts of the world and the world owns huge parts of us. There is no patriotism involved. ‘Patriotism’ is a distraction and diversionary concept to make you believe that ‘we’ are threatened. If you belong to the middle class, we ARE indeed threatened.  There is limited need for most of us in Globalization, version 3.

To those that want to Occupy Wall Street and to Tea Partyers and to the American middle class in general: There is a war for your mind. It is a constant war with battles waged not for control of the majority but the few. As long as our system remains in gridlock then the 1% continue to win.

The battle is for the few that ask why — those that refuse to vote the party line and to perpetuate constant gridlock. We must ask why over and over again. Why do we continue to allow our jobs to be given away for the profit of the few?

Our middle class is in a race to the bottom with the working class people of the world. Nothing against them, but as a member of the American middle class I am not ready or willing to make one of the largest wealth transfers in history. I am not willing to support the continued enrichment of the 1% or the enrichment of the world at my own expense.

We are in a race to the bottom that will only plateau once we have fallen significantly and the rest of the world has risen to where labor rates and market saturation of want over need is balanced. That could take another generation or two.

To the middle class: our best days are ahead for most of us but only if we make changes now! We must make significant changes in our personal choices of lifestyle and demand public  transparency of both government and corporate transnational financial transactions.

In our personal lifestyle and professional choices: we must eliminate debt and we need to develop a menu of skills.

Eliminating debt will be bad for our economy. It could shrink our economy 15-20%. Get over it. Get on with it. Our current economic situation is longterm. There is no positive outcome on the horizon if we live as we currently do. Eliminate debt and restructure your life to be as debt-free and self-sustaining as possible. Thirty year mortgages are the road to serfdom. Renting is not a great plan either in many cases. If you have to buy strive for less and strive for shorter term loans. Stop buying McCastles.

Income assurance: the American middle class has a significant challenge: it has few tangible skills.  Your/our entire education system is based upon managing the world around us. You need a menu of skills that are of value to others in your community. Ask yourself: if you were to lose your job today what service can you provide that others would be willing to pay for?

If you find the above question hard to answer then you are in trouble, deep, deep trouble. You not only need a skillset but a menu of skills; and each need their own hourly value. You need to start planning now for your life in the emerging American middle class — one that will be smaller, more agile, and which is our future already as of today.

To the 1%: I bear you no ill will. It is the nature of all survivable things to seek more efficient means to accumulate more value and more power. This always comes at the loss of something or someone else. You have existed always and always will.

To the 99%: Stop. Think. Avoid distractions. Do not attack the left or the right because you belong to the other. You will fail if you do. We will fail if you do.

To the 99%:  Seek to think objectively. Demand that our leaders put numbers to paper. DO NOT buy into promises of hope and change. DO NOT buy into claims that we can take our country back. It is far too late for that. Collaborating with the new owners because you believe it to be your patriotic duty to support amoral, apatriotic, anationalist accumulation of wealth only hastens the day when America is just another province of the world.

Money is power. America is just a politically defined flow of money. It was not the left or the communists or whomever you might wish to blame for America’s current economic woes. We have only ourselves to blame as we collaborate with the 1% — they will profit by it but we will not, not the majority of us. The wealth of the 1% is no longer American wealth. It is wealth that knows no country and offers no allegience to anything other than reinvestment at higher dividends. Do not be distracted by the presence of flags or invocations to protect our inherent rights as Americans. This is meaningless drivel to the 1% — which they will willingly sell to you as in ‘you too can be rich if you just try hard enough’, all the while flying as many flags as China can produce.

To those that are participating in Occupy Wall Street — you have my sympathies. To supporters of Occupy Wall Street that complain that no one is paying attention, did you notice that it was Fox News that provided you your first major coverage? And it is Fox News that continues to provide you the majority of coverage. You are the new distraction. The artificial debate created is whether you and the Tea Party are similar. It really does not matter. Your concerns are very similar. Your desire to blame someone other than yourself is the same.

Your anger is aimed in the right direction but I don’t believe that you have a plan. Your rage is just as controlled and directed and manipulated as is that of the Tea Party. Do not be useful tools.

The American middle class as we know it will die a protracted death over the next 10-20 years. Suburbia and all of its trappings will soon enough be very different. The new middle class will be much smaller. It already is. I cannot think of a practical way to stop this, or to advise you how you could stop this future from arriving. It is after all already here. America 1950 will be completely gone by 2030, and in 2030 we will be talking about the middle class that emerged from 2007.

Be slow to anger and swift to thought. Only some will win. The battle is for the few and will be won by the few that win the hearts and minds of the distracted many.


>> What the middle class of the world may look like by 2025.

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Filed under Economics, Future

Bill4DogCatcher to launch his own political party. All dogs in the neighborhood invited. Cats also welcome … maybe.

As DogCatcher in a good neighborhood, I don’t always have a lot of critters to be chasing down.

Now if I were in your neighborhood I would be concerned.

That’s the way politics works. My stuff is OK but you have problems.

Since dogs aren’t good at observing boundaries it often seems that your problems become mine, and mine yours.

Have tried TEA. Have tried coffee. Have met a lot of good people. Haven’t met a lot of other dog catchers.

So I was thinking: what if there was a group for fiscally conservative, socially liberal and pragmatic people. Centrists. Whether they lean right or lean left matters less than they all believe that we are one people of different hues all in this together. What if?

We could be a party. We could be an advocacy group called a party. We could be a philosophical grouping of people that became a party. We could just have a party and draw straws as to who does what next.

My line of thought is to form something called a party and to work out the details when we have a second member. We would endorse candidates in 2012 and look to run candidates and/or endorse candidates in 2014.

We do not even have to be an exclusive party. Whether now or in the future, if a Democrat or a Republican or an Independent fits the bill then we could endorse them and they can remain whatever they are, or want to be. Let’s not reinvent the wheel. Let’s get people of 80% likemindedness together where they have a political home without having to lean left or right.

(And it is amazing how some have managed to avoid tipping over the edges of known reality.)

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The BIG Question

I posed the question on Facebook: Who is for starting the LDP – Libertarian Democratic Party?

Don’t worry about the name too much. We can fix that. Suggestions welcome.

All the good names are taken: Beer Party, Coffee Party, Tea Party, Fizzy Cola Party.

My thoughts about the LDP – Libertarian Democratic Party.

Libertarian – there needs to be a solid focus on both freedom of the individual and on personal responsibility. I do believe in minimal government, but that requires that people and institutions be responsible for their actions. With freedom comes responsibility. Let’s talk and focus on that. Let’s also recognize that Americans come in different colors and often prefer to hold hands with different people than you or I might choose. Let’s balance budgets, build roads, foster great schools and not focus on excluding people because of their preference for strawberry ice cream with lime over just vanilla or chocolate.

Democratic – this word makes some people crazy. My thoughts here are that it needs to be understood that we are open and working for all Americans. You could be conservative. You could be liberal. You could be permanently undecided. You could be so independent that your vote changes 4 times between your car and the voting booth. The question though is whether you are willing to work for the greater good of all Americans.

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George asks …

Over the last year or so while exploring I met George. George is one tough guy.

You know the two cranky guys up in the balcony in the Muppets? George can out-critique the both of them.

Just as Pinocchio had Jiminy Cricket to keep him on the straight and narrow, I have George.

Not that I am Pinocchio but hopefully you get the drift of where I am going with this … George keeps me honest in a grumpy 24/7 reviewer-in-the-balcony kind of way. He never seems to run out of tomatoes and slightly aged eggs.

So George read my Facebook entry and asked:

I suppose if you are serious about running for office, you must first decide at what level. If it is to be at the federal level, how do you plan to:

A. Solve the debt problem?
B. Create jobs?
C. End the wars?
D. Fix Social Security and Medicare?

Next question–if you do run for office at any level–what are you going to do on the second day you are in office?

A. Start working on getting reelected?
B. Start working on the problems as you perceive them?
C. Go on some lobbyist sponsored trip/cruise/flight to see ???

If you don’t have answers to these questions–why bother?

George is dependable like that. He has questions and he already doesn’t like the answers … even before he gets them.

I like George … we all need Georges in our lives.

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Dear George and Bill4DogCatcher.com Readers:

Assuming that people elect you to fulfill some level of promises made during the campaign I would start to work on those promises.

As for the four issues that were raised by George:

Federal Debt and Deficits

How to solve the debt problem — the shortterm fix is to slow or halt the growth of the debt. The U.S. paid out approximately $436 billion just in interest payments during 2010. Should our credit rating be downgraded to AA then the interest rate on our borrowing would probably rise to 3-4% and the interest paid out could almost double … we are only paying 1-2% now with our AAA rating.

>> How to slow: require that all expenditures have a funding source.

There are two major challenges here: war expenses and entitlements. It would probably be fruitless to insist that the black hole known as national defense actually be paid for but it we should try. Almost half of 2010′s deficit spending — $840 billion — went just to discretionary spending for defense and security. Add the regular defense budget to that and about 1/10th of American GDP went just to funding war in 2010.

The second major challenge is entitlement spending. Medicare is beyond broke on the financial side of the house, with an estimated $38 trillion never collected for the trust fund but which will be needed over the next 20 years. Put another way, to rescue medicare as we know it will require about 1/7th of annual U.S. GDP for 20 years. Medicare needs triage: it needs to become means tested, higher copays, and the basic medicare tax needs to be raised.

>> Whatever we can do make it more efficient just goes without saying as medicare is not a program full of pork.

On the debt in the longer term, we need to raise taxes by 5-7% and rescind the Bush tax cuts. The 5-7% tax increase should be sunset provisioned so that the tax goes away automatically once the debt can be serviced via other measures such a increased revenues or when it falls below a certain level.

Jobs Creation

How to create jobs — this is a tricky question for me. I believe that we are undergoing a permanent realignment of how people work and that the very definition of ‘work’ and ‘career’ is changing. The skills are changing too.

>> I firmly believe that we are in a period where new jobs in raw numbers will be almost non-existent between now and 2024. Jobs for junior professionals will begin to open up in 2016-2017. Maybe. Our market will not reach equilibrium until we begin to reach the end of the Boomer generation leaving the work force.

Creating jobs — my immediate focus would be on getting credit markets to provide low cost loans to small businesses. Small business finds credit hard to come by, yet small business has created 2 out of 3 jobs since 2007.

I would also focus on infrastructure and education as a way to create jobs.

Infrastructure — very high speed internet needs to be everywhere. It must be so common that no one evens thinks about having access to it. The Internet is a huge enabler and cost reducer for business.

Physical infrastructure also needs attention. I believe that states, counties and cities should take the lead in this. Rather than block grants I believe that very low cost loans need to be made to these more local governments to fund specific projects.

Education — There is no good reason that a college degree should be so expensive. We can not dictate to schools what they should charge for a quality education, but we should encourage certain behavior via funding low cost education loans for students that attend schools with high graduation rates for those skills that are in demand within communities.

Ending the Wars & War in General

The wars — Thomas Jefferson said that the best way to prevent most wars from happening is to ask people to pay for them as they occur.

>> Jefferson “It is incumbent on every generation to pay its own debts as it goes. A principle which if acted on would save one-half the wars of the world.”

Short of a declared war, and short of our ability to pay for it, we should pay for defense in full, just like all other parts of the federal budget should be paid for via balanced budgets.

We do not need credit card wars except with threat is imminent and we have not had time to prepare.

I would also encourage the greater use of special forces, remote and standoff attack capabilities such as drone warfare and drone overwatch, and I would grow the capabilities of our human intelligence elements on the ground.

I am not an isolationist. We should be very proactive in the world and I would like to see our forces prepositioned and stationed around the world as much as possible. This is good not only for having a highly experience force but also for developing an understanding of the world.

We need to stop reacting. We need greater cultural awareness and relationships with other countries. The world needs to know that we are not going to become isolationists due to our overreach in both Iraq and in Afghanistan.

Social Security and Medicare

>> Medicare I’ve addressed as part of national debt.

>> Social Security — there are issues but they are not insurmountable. Social Security is now an American institution and absolutely essential to the prosperity of the country as a whole — we cannot return to the days when retirement often meant a lowered quality of life for many Americans, perhaps 1 in 3.

To stabilize Social Security, I would support:

– raising the retirement age to 69, or unchanged for those that are disabled and prevented from working before age 69.

– means testing for two levels of benefits. Social Security survived its 1937 Supreme Court challenge because the Roosevelt Administration argued that it was not an insurance program. It was to be a tax that provided assistance to those that needed it — that was the argument.

We can probably make sure that those need it actually get it by means testing.

I would also consider capping the annual payout so that it matched available trust funds. For example, if someone were scheduled to receive $1750 per month and the trust funds fully supported that with no red ink projected then $1750 would be the check received.

However, if trust fund were low and the trust only supported $1600 then the payment would be lowered to $1600.

This would be adjusted monthly.

This approach could be seen as ‘not keeping the promise’. Payout according to funds availability is much better than the program collapsing due to lack of funding.

People need to feel the effect of their economic decisions. If the trust fund is running low and Americans support higher taxes or alternative funding methods then good, else the budget must be balanced.

… as for what I am really going to do on my second day in office, the questions that George gave me were:

A. Start working on getting reelected?
B. Start working on the problems as you perceive them?
C. Go on some lobbyist sponsored trip/cruise/flight to see ???

My answers, having been a DogCatcher for awhile:

A — Day 2 is always the first day of your next campaign.

B — Yes, start working on problem solving … and learning the ropes of how things work once the door is closed. As someone that is independent minded it will take a while to gain the trust and the shared insight of those that are reelected incumbents and that control the real processes at work.

C — =^) … with my luck and junior status a junket for me would probably be to watch potatoes grow in Idaho as I move up the agricultural committee foodchain.

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Filed under Civil Society, Election 2012, Future, Independents, Libertarianism, Philosophy

The Future of Work … It Isn’t What It Once Was, Or Maybe It is

Knowledge and Artisan skills – what do you offer the world, and does the world want it?!

If you had to work as an independent consultant — i.e., work for various employers where you are paid directly for services provided — could you confidently answer this statement: ‘I am a junior/mid-level/senior level ______. An appropriate hourly rate for my services is $___.’

Most people have trouble answering the first part, and are totally clueless about the second — although many are tempted to take their current paycheck and divide by 40, the hours in a normal workweek.

The rules of successful career progression and employment are changing. Reality is that significant change in the nature of employment began long before the Great Recession of 2007.

By the late 1990s the percentage of Americans employed in the job market had slowed and rapidly began to tumble by 2000. Even when the economy supposedly recovered in the mid-2000s the number of Americans in the workplace continued to thin.

US Employment Population Ratio 1948-2010

Read more at http://wjmc.blogspot.com/

Instead of thinking big and large scale, the future for the average person awaits them in their community by filling local or virtual needs for your services — go to Guru.com for an example of how people are offering their services around the world; even Administrative Assistants (people formerly known as secretaries and step-and-fetch-its are making money virtually).

  • Success will come to those possessing more than just an average knowledge of some skills or craft.
  • Success will come from holding certifications that make you ‘skilled’ vice having a skill.
  • Success will come from being active in your community and reaching out to others in the business community, either through direct involvement or virtually, and making it known that you are available with a menu of services and skills.
  • Success will come from you knowing your market value and being realistic about fish-of-the-day pricing for your services. It doesn’t matter if you are a rocket scientist when the room is full of them and demand is low. Supply and demand rule the day.

BTW — many businesses like to hire consultants AKA 1099 workers. They pay for what they get and are willing to pay even more for what they like. Paying a bit extra is often worth it to employers that outsource work to you, knowing that they are getting their money’s worth.

Unemployment numbers measure how many Americans are participating in the work place.

Reality is that far fewer Americans are working as a percentage of the entire population.

Reality is that employers can do more with less. More work and productivity can be achieved by fewer professionals. Current technology makes possible fulfillment of the promise that we can do more with less.

Are you less or more?

Some of that doing more with less involves using more outsourced professionals. Protect your job by adjusting to new employment market realities and being able to confidently answer this statement: ‘I am a junior/mid-level/senior level ______. An appropriate hourly rate for my services is $___.’


By William ‘Bill’ Golden, CEO of IntelligenceCareers, Inc., aka IntelligenceCareers.com, USAJobZoo.com, and USADefenseIndustryJobs.com plus 148 niche jobs blogs.

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Filed under Economics, Employment, Future

One Tribe, One Blood … But Not Much Else in Common … Or Maybe …

Cynical me.

It may be the season but am feeling much more understanding lately. That doesn’t mean that I am more accepting of silliness — there is no fixing stupid … or arrogant … or hateful. God will fix that eventually.

Please enjoy this beautiful song — beautiful both visually and to the ears. (And if you don’t like it … well then what did you expect a Dog Catcher to like?)

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Filed under Civil Society, Family Values, Future

2010 Rise of the Independents — Does It Matter Any Longer Who Wins 2010?

A number of Republicans have broken ranks recently and endorsed candidates outside of the party’s primary winners.

California Governor Arnold Schwartzenegger is the latest by endorsing Florida’s Charlie Crist in his senate bid.

My belief is that whatever victory comes out of the 2010 election, 2010 will be for Republicans their last national hurrah for some time to come. I expect there to be 5-7 independent senators serving our nation by 2012-2014, and most will be former Republicans.

Call them RINO if you wish but voters will ultimately decide.

The Republican Party has worked very hard to alienate much of America. In the most recent polling by nonpartisan groups Republicans in Congress are trusted less than both Democrats and President Obama.

So if they have alienated America why is it that they stand a good chance to win the House, and possibly even the Senate? Punishment!

Democrats have delivered on a lot of promises. So has President Obama; out of 506 campaign promises made he has only reneged on 22.

Reality however is that Democrats have themselves behaved poorly and really seem to be adrift. It is somewhat obvious that President Obama encourages Congress to pursue certain policies, but Obama neglects his role as party leader until moments of desperation set in — like the final push for Health Care Reform or pushing back against Republicans and Tea Partyers. The word ‘leader‘ seems to apply to no one in particular within the Democratic party.

Reality is also that the Democrats have come off as somewhat spineless against their opposition. Who wants to vote for that? I’m serious about this aspect. The Democrats have been absolutely spineless since the summer of 2009 — except for Barney Frank and his well-aimed ‘what planet are you from’ quip.

Spine has recently been shown by some Republicans who are beginning to push back. It will not be enough to stem their party’s drift to the right, a right without plan or ability to achieve some very half-baked schemes, but it represents a decision point.

Just as Adams argued strongly against breaking with Great Britain, once you realize that your own family really does not love you then it is time to hit the road in a new direction.

Once 2012 rolls around the Republicans will complete their schism. A small but statistically powerful number of independents will be in the ranks of the Senate.  Republicans will have a choice: find where they parked their big tent or become a party of demographically dwindling supporters.

2010 really is the rise of the Independent.


Bill Golden is Bill4DogCatcher.com — an independent, conservative observer of American politics, economics, trends and whatever is fish of the day. Please join in the conversation online at http://www.facebook.com/Bill4DogCatcher

 

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Filed under Election 2010, Election 2012, Elections, Future, Independents

8.28 ‘Restoring Honor’ Rally – Washington DC – A Review

The Restoring Honor rally was Glenn Beck’s idea.

It was his concept. Glenn Beck was ever present from beginning to the end of the 8.28 Restoring Honor rally.

Not only did Beck speak throughout but he had prerecorded the voiceovers so that as the rally segued from one presentation to the next his voice was like Morgan Freeman’s, where Freeman narrates as if God was looking down upon the earth and his creation.

Glen Beck - Ever present.

Much thought was put into how to involve, to interest and to keep the 'Restoring Honor' participants attention. Glenn Beck and presenters were always viewable and hearable over a very high quality audio system and large video screens spread throughout the Mall area.

A snippet from the Restoring Honor website as to the day’s theme:

“Throughout history America has seen many great leaders and noteworthy citizens change her course. It is through their personal virtues and by their example that we are able to live as a free people. On August 28, come celebrate America by honoring our heroes, our heritage and our future.”

“Join the Special Operations Warrior Foundation, Glenn Beck, Sarah Palin and many more for this non-political event that pays tribute to America’s service personnel and other upstanding citizens who embody our nation’s founding principles of integrity, truth and honor.”

“Our freedom is possible only if we remain virtuous. Help us restore the values that founded this great nation.”

I will revisit these themes throughout my review and give my critique.

However, simply yes, the event embraced its theme and did not stray. Partisan critics have already written such things about this event as “Anger Floods the Mall Along with Glenn Beck” … this just did not happen.

If you read my review to the end you will find that 8.28 was a instead a day of anti-anger, anti-racism, and anti-status quo.

There was/is indeed an underlying strategy at work by Glenn Beck and behind 8.28.

Warning: if you take left-of-center knee jerk criticism of what happened as reality then woe unto believers of that alternate reality.

Glenn Beck reinvented himself on 8.28, and I believe that this event was intended to be a boomerang rally: If you wish to believe that Beck is merely and simply causing more trouble then you are wrong. Beck is crazy like a fox. And like a fox you had better stop whining about him being crazy and start counting your chickens. Beck is coming for them.

Goodstock?

They came by the tens of thousands.

They came from California and Florida and Idaho and so many different places. The young. The old. One of the networks reported their estimate of 87,000 people coming out for the 8.28 Restoring Honor rally … yes, I can believe that. I came with two cameras and a video camera to document the event.

August 28, 2010 Restoring Honor rally, Washington DC

The Restoring Honor rally - called by some 'Goodstock'

I walked the rally from end-to-end and across the depth.

I have lots of photos of people (many, many more than in my photo album of this event). So many came that there was no choice but to make friends. People filled the walkways, the hillsides, the fields adjacent to the Lincoln Memorial.

People were standing shoulder to shoulder throughout  and between the Lincoln Memorial and the World War II Memorial … and from there to the hillside of the Washington Monument were large crowds of Americans that also came for out for the rally.

Video screens help the crowds view speakers

Large video screens through the Mall area help the crowds view and see speakers and presentations.

The Participants

“They” were white America. This was a 99.99% white participant event. It would be generous to say that 4 or 5 non-whites (including Latinos) per 1,000 were in attendance, although that number is probably safe within any margin of error on my part.

Restoring Honor Rally participants

In any direction, the crowd extended the length of the Mall and stood shoulder to shoulder.

It would be very wrong however to say that this was an event for white America. Critics of this event that did not come out and experience this event in person will miss that something very unique and important happened on 8.28.

The core message: the real message delivered on 8.28 reached its intended audience: activist white America. The message was simple: Hate and anger and denial about the past will not win for us in the future. You need to go home and think about what makes America great: Hope. Faith. Charity. The core message was that unless these things are openly embraced then America cannot and will not be great again.

Throughout the day, the majority — yes, the MAJORITY — of speakers and presenters on the platform were NOT white Americans. My interpretation is that Beck (and by extension Palin) is trying to move beyond the combative contentiousness of the Tea Party. Such would be a delicate maneuver to be sure as Tea Partyers made 8.28 a huge success. Ultimately, however, the Restoring Honor rally was not a Tea Party event — either in style or in message.

My belief is that 8.28 was a test of the waters for a 2012 campaign theme. For left-of-center you need to study carefully what happened on 8.28 because it was the launch of a strategy: unite conservative and center-right America by purposely reaching out to people of color.

The Strategy – A Theory

It is a fair question to ask how a massive rally made up of 99.99% white participants could be a strategy to reach out to those that were not there.

Here are my key thoughts:

  • An old school standard of teaching and reinforcing concepts was used: Tell them what you are going to tell them, tell them, and then tell them what you told them. Glenn Beck and team managed to keep a major promise: this was not a politicized event. There were no harsh words and I do not believe that President Obama’s name, or even mention of any political issues, was ever brought up. Instead the crowd, many of whom wore t-shirts with the rally’s theme imprinted, were told that 8.28 was all about “Faith. Hope. Charity.” That theme was constantly reinforced by every speaker.
  • Prepare the audience to think different. Whatever story you wish to believe about why the 8.28 ‘Restoring Honor’ rally was held on the anniversary of the Reverend Martin Luther King’s “I have a dream” speech is probably true.– Beck says that he did not realize the significance of the day until he had scheduled  the event. Maybe. Washington DC is miserably hot during August. Absolutely sweat drenching miserable. If there is going to be a cool day it will be at the end of the month. Beck may well have chosen the last weekend for the same reason that anyone else would. As it turns out, it was an incredibly nice, cool day.

    – If Beck set out to hijack Martin Luther King’s legacy by holding his event on the same date then the calendar makers must also be in collusion. 8.28 rarely falls on a weekend. I am open to believe in coincidence. I am skeptical enough to believe in planning.

    – For Beck’s critics and for those that love a great conspiracy theory, Beck indeed did not waste the significance of the date. The entire event from start to finish explicitly adopted and explored and embraced themes of 1963′s I have a dream. This included Beck et al telling the audience that just as we overcame the wrongs and injustices  of our racist past … STOP! We have racism in our recent past? Beck is telling us that we have a hurtful and wrongful racist past? Didn’t he know that his audience was 99.99% white?

    – The strategy of 8.28: Prepare the minds of potential missionaries and disciples for the direction that you want them to go! If there was indeed a strategy (my conspiracy theory) then Beck would need the audience’s cooperation. Potentially this could be a tough audience for what was yet to come.

  • Show your audience that you mean what you say. Let me repeat that the majority of the presenters and speakers on the stage were not white Americans. Beck did what the GOP and the Tea Parties have not done: he involved the rest of America. Beck involved people that stood at Martin Luther King’s side back in 1963 and now in 2010 they were on the stage with Glenn Beck embracing “Faith. Hope. Charity.” Beck created a very carefully choreographed event that repeatedly and in many gentle but not subtle ways told the white American audience ‘Think different!’ and to those that did not attend but pay attention beyond the 24/7 network media spin: Beck told much of the rest of America you matter and we want you to join us.

August 28th was a beautiful day and tens of thousands of Americans joined each other. Whether you agree or disagree with their politics I will share this one last thought: the battle for 2012 arrived today, and it may be fought differently than many believe.

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Filed under Civil Society, Election 2010, Election 2012, Family Values, Future, TEA Party

I’m not Satan, and you ain’t Lucifer … even though you drink coffee, tea and/or koolaid.

OK, so I did it. I went to the local Coffee Party on Saturday, March 13th.

I’m conservative with a long track record of supporting whatever walks the right side of the street. Although born a Democrat, back in 1972 I even joined the ‘Democrats for Nixon’ campaign as a highschooler — in Florida there were no Republicans elected to state office until 1978. None. Long story short: I have never identified with liberal or Democratic groups, even though I was born a Democrat — registering as a Republican only when that other former Democrat ‘God bless Ronald Reagan’ ran for president.

Bottomline: I wasn’t sure how these Coffee folks would take to someone with an NRA ballcap, who openly describes themself as conservative, or how they would deal with someone willing to discuss issues from a more conservative perspective. Certainly I have seen how more liberal-minded people were treated by the opposing view in my community — not a pretty sight.

There were a few things said by fellow attendees that made my ears twitch. At one point a group moderator even pointed me out and said “OK, so you smiling. So why the smile?” Blink. Blink. “Oh, crap” thought I. “She mistaked my smirk for a smile.” Time to put up or to shut up. So I did. Blink. Blink. “OK, well that’s a helpful perspective to understand a different view”, said she … and on we moved in the conversation. Hmmm …

Our group conversation focused on issues that we all individually believe should be of interest and worthy of group investigation. The issues added up: 15, 20, 25 … perhaps 30 different issues got listed. Then each participant got two votes to select two issues that they personally would like the group to focus on. Issues with the most votes were rolled into four study groups.

Hmmm … so the rumors that I heard beforehand that this was just a disguised group pimping for liberal causes or the Democratic party were … they were … bogus. Solidly bogus.

By the day’s end I found myself in the ‘Financial Oversight’ issue study group responsible for issues such as taxation, banking regulation, etc.

Boom! So now we would get our agenda if it were ever to happen. Someone would surely guide the study groups to what breadcrumbs should be followed. Nope. Didn’t happen.

We six group members decided what topics we wanted to study, set our own agenda for meeting, created a Facebook page to exchange info and to build whitepapers that can be used within the group and for approaching our legislators. The Coffee leadership didn’t even get involved in asking what we had decided upon. They’ll find out when we report back later in the month.


I’m not Satan, and you ain’t Lucifer … even though you drink coffee, tea and/or koolaid.

America stands at a crossroads. We are always arriving at some crossroad but the issues today are huge and imminently in front of us. The outcome will directly affect our children and grandchildren, leaving them incredible debt.  We owe trillions to foreign countries and investors (and to Americans, too) — almost $2 trillion is due in October 2010 to pay back money borrowed in the early 2000s.

We have major healthcare issues that are at an impasse; our system is one of the best medicine that people can buy. Yet we rank just ahead of Cuba in the general health of our population. Obamacare to me is an abomination that will bankrupt the country and yet the alternative is “personal responsibility” — even though healthcare insurers are a monopolistic industry and some recently announced hikes of 25-36% in annual premiums.

Enough of labels. Enough of political party hacks and support groups — both the Democratic and Republican parties are focused on the next election. Neither can be trusted to hold real discussions and to make hard decisions. Each put party before country.

As for all the liberals, moderates, conservatives and wingers of every stripe: I’m not Satan, and you ain’t Lucifer … even though you drink coffee, tea and/or koolaid.

If you want to sit down with me and discuss issues then good. Check your name calling and label machines at the door — I don’t have time for you or that if that is what you are about.

Here is what I am about: God bless the U.S. Constitution, the 10th Amendment has real meaning, don’t put your hands in my pockets to pay for programs — unless we are both paying the same, and we should pay as we go. I don’t believe that “cut taxes” is the answer to everything, but taxes should be minimal and government intrusion into our lives should also be. But be assured “we” includes both you and me. We are both Americans — and I’ll drink any beer that you buy me. …  :^)

I’ll meet with you any time and any place — except Sunday afternoons when I’m either enjoying my Second Amendment rights or playing soccer, or doing both.

BTW – I drink both tea and coffee. Both are OK with me.


This post by Bill Golden, aka Bill4DogCatcher.com, an independent observer of American political life, economics, and workforce issues.

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Filed under Coffee Party, Economics, Election 2010, Election 2012, Future, Politics, Progressive Movement, Republican Party, TEA Party, USA

Coffee, Tea and Me – 2010 Craziness

Surely 2010 will go down in American history books as one of the more interesting years in American history.

2010 is in many ways a lot like both 1884 and 1992.

1884 gave us the Mugwumps - conservative and moderate Republicans that revolted and openly distanced themselves from the official choices of the Republican Party. In many cases the Mugwumps actively worked against Republican candidates, this includes even the Republican nominee for president. Unlike today, Mugwumps were a top down revolt of Republicans already elected that thought the party was on the wrong path.

1992 – how quickly we forget the anger that existed, to include real concern about our national debt. National polling shows that Americans were much more “angry” at the government back in 1992, significantly much more angry. That anger got channeled however through the candidacy of Ross Perot who stepped forward and very explicitly challenged the political establishment — with charts and predictions in hand Ross Perot made a difference. We later got “Contract with America” which turned out to be: vote us in, we promise to use all of your favorite buzzwords,  and then we’ll do what is best for the party.

Ross Perot got my vote and the vote of 19% of America in 1992.

The lessons of 1884 and 1992 are that populist movements to reform government are usually shortlived. They can linger on for a few years; Ross Perot later formally founded the Reform Party which actually won some elections. We have some few remaining elected officials here in Virginia that are officially Reform Party … this is now a party footnoted in history.

Without structure and organization there is no future for a movement. Perhaps even with structure there is no future; witness the inability of the Libertarian Party to connect, or the Constitutionalist Party — the “fastest growing party in America”  as it bills itself … I don’t think so.

So here we are at 2010. Anger we have plenty of, but alas no Ross Perot to represent us or any central personality capable of convincing America that someone with a name cares. There is no cross-generational Ronald Reagan, whom we literally had decades to know and to mature with and to evolve with. 2010 is all about chaos, impending financial entropy on a scale that we cannot yet imagine … although some are trying hard.

2010 is all about having to represent ourselves against the machine — and the machine is both red and blue.

Tea or coffee? Coffee or Tea?

Until now I have been uninvolved in the TEA Party movement. I don’t do anger. Anger blinds you and makes you do silly stuff. I’m a solutions person. I have never let not knowing what I am doing get in the way of achieving something. Until recently the TEA Party movement has largely been against and not for anything. That is changing.

The TEA movement is maturing, and now that the Republicans (Romney/Rove/Steele) have informed TEA Partyers that they really are Republicans and that they should act accordingly, there is more sober thought among TEAers to consider what comes next. Conservative Texas’ voter thumping of TEA candidates has also caused many TEAers to pause and to reflect.

Now comes this new creature: the Coffee Party. The premise of Coffee is that government is not the enemy. It may not have the answer, but it is not the enemy.

We are the government. If it is wrong then we are wrong. Coffee suggests that ‘we the people’ should focus our energies on helping guide government by being both its watchdog and by being involved. We must do more than be angry. We must be part of the solution.

So for me I will now get involved in both. Although many in TEA distrust Coffee, and certainly Coffee is in reaction to TEA, we are at a crossroads in American history. They both are a distraction and yet they both may hold answers.

One thing is certain: 2010 is the chapter that follows 1884 and 1992.


BTW #1 - some good did come out of 1992. Congress seriously took up the challenge to pass a constitutional amendment to balance the budget. 1995 was the closest that Congress has ever come to voting yes and then allowing the states to consider and to vote on this amendment. That said, the vote was 65 Yea and 35 Nay in the Senate. Here is a brief history of past attempts to pass a Balanced Budget Amendment.

BTW #2 – Republicans claim to be serious about passing some form of a Balanced Budget Amendment if only we give them the chance. Really? Those two wild and crazy South Carolinians Lindsey Graham and Jim DeMint (both R-SC) introduced a Balanced Budget Amendment in 2007. Surely you remember!? Don’t you? Surely you do. Anyway, Republicans always run to this ploy when politically in trouble. I believe that Graham and DeMint were serious about it — but where was the rest of the party?


This post by Bill Golden, aka Bill4DogCatcher.com, an independent  observer of American political life, economics, and workforce issues.

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Filed under American History, Coffee Party, Democratic Party, Economic Recovery, Economics, Election 2010, Future, National Debt, Republican Party, TEA Party

U.S. National Debt: Your Share $38,523.22

You owe $38,523.22 as of this morning as part of America’s national debt.

Not happy? Write to the president, write to Congress and be sure to ask hard questions of candidates in upcoming elections.

Please DO NOT be partisan. There are no clean hands by either of the major parties. Write your letter as an American.

U.S. National Debt in 2008 dollars

$38,523.22 is your share of the national debt. Your spouse owes that much. Your children owe that much.

Every American currently owes $38,523.22.

Taking non-working Americans out of the calculation (children, ill, retired, non-working spouses, etc.) and every working American owes $75,000.

Where did this debt come from? Years of buy now, pay later.

You and I will pay $425 billion just in interest on the debt this year.

Want or need social security? Cheap subsized pharma? Wars? Subsidized health insurance? Can you say corporate welfarism as well as welfare cadillac? We can have that if we buy now and pay later.

Our debt comes from a buy now and pay later mentality. An addiction.

So how much trouble are we really in? China wants to know if we can pay our loans back due to what it calls economic mismanagement. Tough words coming from a Communist.

Sources:

– President Bush’s FY 2008 Budget, http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/fy2008/pdf/budget/outlook.pdf

– U.S. National Debt Clock, http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/

– U.S. Public Debt, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt

– MOUNTAIN OF DEBT: Rising Debt May Be Next Crisis, http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory?id=7995188

– Wen Voices Concern Over China’s U.S. Treasurys ,  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123692233477317069.html

– Citizens for Tax Justice (CTJ), http://www.ctj.org/

– DefeatTheDebt.com, http://defeatthedebt.com/understanding-the-national-debt/how-much-do-we-owe/

The chart is taken from President Bush’s FY2008 Budget and I added the names of the presidents according to their timeline oversight of the budget and national debt.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory?id=7995188http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory?id=7995188

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Filed under American History, Democratic Party, Economics, Election 2010, Election 2012, Future, National Debt, Republican Party, USA